How is the indicative integrity risk calculated?

The indicative integrity risk badges are assigned to projects based on combinations of data for the percentage mapped as comprehensively cleared, trends in woody cover in the project’s carbon estimation areas (CEAs) (or project area), and comparisons in cover between the project’s CEAs (or project area) and its buffer. The approach to scoring each of these is detailed in specific responses for each indicator.

Projects receive an indicative "Low Risk" badge if they satisfy either of the following conditions.

Low risk badge condition 1:

  • forest cover is increasing in the project's CEAs [project area] (slope of linear relationship between forest cover and year is >0.25% and slope of relationship for sparse is >-0.05); and
  • forest cover is increasing relative to the project buffer (difference between slopes for forest cover against time in CEAs/project and buffer is >0.25% per year and difference for sparse is >-0.05% per year); and
  • at least 25% of the project’s CEAs [project area] are mapped as previously comprehensively cleared.

Low risk badge condition 2:

  • forest cover is increasing in the project's CEAs [project area]  (slope of linear relationship between forest cover and year is>0.25% and slope of relationship for sparse is > -0.05); and
  • the project's CEAs (project area) are mapped as at least 50% previously comprehensively cleared.

Projects that fail both of the conditions for a Low Risk badge are given a "Moderate Risk" badge if at least one of the following conditions is satisfied.

  • Moderate risk badge condition 1: forest cover is increasing in the project’s CEAs [project area] and is also increasing relative to the buffer and the percentage of the project’s CEAs [project area] mapped as previously comprehensively cleared is at least 10%.
  • Moderate risk badge condition 2: sparse woody cover is increasing in the project’s CEAs [project area] and relative to the buffer and the percentage of the CEAs [project area] mapped as previously comprehensively cleared is at least 10%.
  • Moderate risk badge condition 3: forest cover is increasing in the project’s CEAs [project area] and the percentage of the CEAs [project area] mapped as previously comprehensively cleared is at least 25%.

Projects that do not satisfy either the Low or Moderate Risk badge conditions receive a "High Risk" badge.

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Disclaimer
Carbon Integrity Explorer

The Carbon Integrity Explorer provides information about carbon offsets projects registered under the Australian Government’s carbon offset scheme. 

Registered projects can generate Australian carbon credit units (ACCUs). Each ACCU is supposed to represent 1 tonne of real and additional abatement of greenhouse gas emissions. 

The Carbon Integrity Explorer uses government datasets to provide indicative information on whether projects are likely to be generating real and additional abatement.   

The information contained in the Explorer is indicative only and should not be relied upon as a definitive measure of the extent to which projects have, or are likely to, generate real and additional abatement. The Explorer does not:·  

  • assess, or purport to provide information on, whether projects are complying with the legal requirements of the offset scheme;  
  • assess, or purport to provide information on, whether the ACCUs that have been, or are likely to be, issued to projects are valid or invalid; or
  • assess, or purport to provide information on, the actual or expected market value of any ACCUs.

The Carbon Integrity Explorer should not be relied on for the above purposes. 

The Centre for Environment and Integrity Pty Ltd does not suggest or imply that any proponent of any project has done anything unlawful or unethical or that ACCUs issued to any project are not legitimate or valid. The indicative risk rating is an indicative measure of the abatement risk associated with relevant projects and nothing else. 

The Centre for Environment and Integrity Pty Ltd does not have an Australian financial services licence and, in operating the Explorer, is not providing financial advice about ACCUs or any other financial product.

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